Excess Mortality AlgorithmWhen DT Air Mass isForecast for Tomorrow

Deaths = 45.92 + (-0.08 x TS) + (2.05 x DIR) +

(1.61 x ATmin+1) ) + (0.75 x ATmin+2) )

(r2 = 46%)

where

TS = time of season (days since 14 May)

DIR = day in row of an oppressive air mass

ATmin+1) = minimum apparent temperature forecast for tomorrow

ATmin+2) ) = minimum apparent temperature forecast for day after tomorrow

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