Delaware Chapter, ASA

Dinner Meeting: January 2006

Speaker: Dr. Bruce H. Stanley
DuPont Crop Protection
Stine-Haskell Research Center
Title: Applications of Binomial "n" Estimation, Especially when No Successes Are Observed


Many processes, such as flipping a coin, follow a binomial process where there is one of two outcomes. The researcher often knows that both outcomes are possible, even if no events of one of the outcomes is observed. This talk presents techniques for estimating the number of trials, e.g., number of flips, based upon the observed outcomes only, and focuses on the case where events of only one possibility are observed. Dr. Stanley then discusses applications of this methodology.

Bio of Speaker:

A biostatistician for DuPont Crop Protection at the Stine-Haskell Research Center in Newark, Dr. Stanley received his doctorate from Cornell University, where he studied the application of probabilistic modeling to integrated insect pest management. Over his career, he has worked as a research entomologist, ecotoxicologist and statistician. Currently, he is the Biostatistics Group Leader for new product discovery and development.


We will hold an election for chapter officers in 2006 after the presentation. The slate of candidates is:

President: Eugene Davis
Vice President: Bruce stanley
Treasurer: Larry Hothkiss
Secretary: Steven Bingham
Chapter Representative: Renee Bailey Iacona
Nominations will be accepted from the floor.
Date: Thursday, January 19, 2006

Social hour -- 6:00 pm
Dinner -- 6:30 pm
Speaker -- 7:15 pm

Newark Holiday Inn
Oliver's Restaurant map

Entree: Boneless Stuffed Chicken Breast with Homemade Dressing, OR
Roast Sirloin of Beef, au Jus, OR
Broiled Filet of Flounder with Citrus Sauce
Dessert: Parfait



$25 for members, $15 for students ($5 for talk only)



Bruce Stanley by Tuesday, January 17, 2006.
Phone: 302-366-5910
Fax: 302-366-5236
Email: Bruce Stanley.

If you desire a vegetarian meal, please so indicate in your RSVP.

Please note: Be sure to RSVP by this date, to assure a meal is reserved for you.

We are delighted to announce that Professor Joel Best will be our guest speaker at our February 16, 2006 meeting again at Oliver's Restuarant. Professor Best is a noted sociologist and author of such staistically important books as "Damned Lies and Statistics" (Untangling Numbers from the Media, Politicians, and Activists) and "More Damned Lies and Statistics" (How Numbers Confuse Public Issues).

Future meetings will continue to be at Oliver's restaurant at least through May 2006. The following is list of the dates of future meetings in 2006 (third Thursday of month from 6 - 10 pm):

January 19, 2006
Febrary 16, 2006
March 16, 2006
April 20, 2006
May 18, 2006
(Summer Break)
September 21, 2006
October 19, 2006
November 16, 2006
December 21, 2006
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