Applications of Statistical Modeling and Simulation

Sponsored by

The Delaware Chapter of the American Statistical Association

Friday, April 27, 2007

Clayton Hall, University of Delaware

Bigger computers allow us to ask broader questions, but are the answers any better? Join us for a tour of cutting edge methods of simulation and modeling.

(Friday, April 27, 2007)

8:00 a.m. Registration and Refreshments
8:45 a.m. Welcome: Eugene Davis, President, Delaware Chapter, ASA
SESSION I Moderator: Margaret Minkwitz
9:00 a.m. RISKS: We know things will go wrong...but how often? what cost? Probabilistic Risk Assessment - John W. Green, DuPont Company
10:00 a.m. Coffee Break
10:15 a.m. BIOLOGY: What tells some cancer cells to kill, and others to sleep? Developing Cancer Therapies that Prevent Resistance and Relapse" - Carlo C. Maley, Wistar Institute
11:15 a.m. INDUSTRY: If we knew the answer, it would not be R&D..... Use of Computer Simulation to Plan Complicated Industrial Experiments - William Q. Meeker, Jr., Iowa State University
12:15 Noon Luncheon Moderator: Bruce H. Stanley
CARTOONS: If they are on MTV, why not at a statistics symposium? Three Rules of Cartooning and Statistical Communication - Woollcott Smith, Temple University
SESSION II Moderator: Dennis Sweitzer
1:30 p.m. VALIDATION: Good Simulation means never having to say: "Well, it sounded like a good idea at the time..." Validating Complex Simulations - David Banks, Duke University
2:30 p.m. TERRORISM: Which targets are next? Modeling the Interaction between Intelligent Site Selection and Other Stochastic Processes with Applications to Terrorism - Michael D. Porter, North Carolina State University
3:30 p.m. Refreshment Break
3:45 p.m. CLIMATE CHANGE: From the physics to the forecast, how can we be sure? Statistical Issues in Climate Change Modeling - Peter Huybers, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University
4:45 p.m. Conference Closes

(Friday, April 27, 2007)

DAVID BANKS is a Professor of the Practice of Statistics at the Institute of Statistics and Decision Science at Duke University, conducting research on complex biologic models and model validation. He received his PhD in statistics from Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University and has held positions at the FDA, Department of Transportation and several Universities. He is an elected Fellow of the American Statistical Association and received numerous awards including the Roger Herriot Award for innovation in federal statistical programs.

MICHAEL D. PORTER is a post-doctoral fellow at North Carolina State University with research interests in space-time point processes, adaptive estimation and biosurveillance. He received his PhD from the University of Virginia.

CARLO C. MALEY is an Assistant Professor in the Molecular & Cellular Oncogenisis Program, Systems Biology Division of The Wistar Institute, Philadelphia, PA and is conducting research in the evolution of cancer. He received his PhD from the Massacheutts Institute of Technology.

JOHN W. GREEN is a Senior Consultant, Biostatistics in the DuPont Applied Statistics Group. He received a PhD in Statistics from Texas A & M University and a PhD. in Mathematics from the University of Texas at Austin.

WOOLLCOTT SMITH is a professor at Temple University with research interests in effective ways to communicate basic and advanced statistics and stochastic processes, applications to biological and engineering sciences. He received his PhD from The Johns Hopkins University and is the author of The Cartoon Guide to Statistics.

WILLIAM Q. MEEKER, JR is a Professor at Iowa State University with research interests in areas of business industrial and other application of statistics. He received his PhD in Administrative and Engineering Systems from Union College. He is an elected Fellow of the American Statistical Association.

PETER HUYBERS is an Assistant Professor at Harvard University with research interests in Glacial Cycles and Climate change across space and time scales. He is also associated with the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute. He received his PhD from Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Organizing committee: Margaret Minkwitz, Dennis Sweitzer, Bruce Stanley, Larry Hotchkiss, Eugene Davis.

Applications of Statistical Modeling and Simulation
Delaware ASA
Delaware ASA